Due to last night's road game there's no morning skate today, which makes it
kind of hard for me to do a morning skate update. I have no idea if there are
any line changes or lineup changes (remember- Bob Hartley said Steve McCarthy
would play before the playoffs) but we do know that Johan Hedberg is getting the
start in net (it was announced in
the AJC earlier this week). Kari should be back in for Saturday's game in
Boston.
In lieu of a morning skate update, let's take a look at the Maple Leafs.
First off, they're 6-3-1 in their last ten. Fairly solid, until you realize
that all six wins were in Toronto and that the Leafs have only picked up one
point over their last four road games (yes, I'm taking shots from within my
glass house- the Thrashers haven't won on the road since February). Meanwhile
the Thrashers are 7-1 over their last eight home games.
Toronto is sitting two points out of the eighth spot and they alternate home
and road games for the remainder of the season. They're coming off of solid wins
over Carolina (6-1) and a huge win over the Sabres (4-1) so they have momentum
on their side. Their power play is slightly better than ours (17.5% vs. 16.7%)
and their penalty kill is slightly worse (79% vs. 79.5%). Keep in mind though
that Atlanta's PK has been solid lately, even after giving up a goal last night.
On paper the two teams are very evenly matched.
In practice, your Thrashers have the edge so far this season. Toronto won the
first game up in Canada but Atlanta dominated the next two, winning 5-0 at
Philips and 5-2 in Toronto. Slava Kozlov and Marian Hossa have had their way
with the Leafs, as Hossa has potted four goals and picked up a pair of assists
in the season series while Kozlov has five helpers and two goals. Meanwhile
Darcy Tucker has been a thorn in the sides of Thrashers fans, scoring three of
Toronto's six goals in the series.
I'm not one not publicly predict wins or losses (though I do it at the office
all the time) but I feel a win coming tonight. I think the guys are sick of the
speculation and the doubts and I have a feeling they're going to take care of
business tonight. A quick start and the first goal are huge keys to the game.
the longer Toronto is in it the more trouble the Thrashers will be in.
Looking back at the losses in Florida and Pittsburgh, the team actually
played fairly well. they limited chances and didn't panic in their own end. If
they can keep that up but get the offense rolling they'll be fine.
If you haven't checked it out yet, here's the
NHL.com game preview.
By the way, I'm loving the way today's trivia contest is shaping up. So far
there have been there have only been five correct responses and plenty of wrong
ones. Make sure you double-check your answer, because this isn't an easy one.